Iowa’s Outlook
The Iowa Hawkeyes (18-13, 10-10 Big Ten) enter the tournament as the No. 7 seed. Fran McCaffery’s squad has been inconsistent this season, but when they’re clicking, they have one of the most potent offenses in the conference. Iowa boasts the Big Ten’s top-scoring offense, averaging 81.3 points per game, and they rely heavily on their fast-paced attack and three-point shooting.
Key Player: Payton Sandfort – The junior forward has been a force for the Hawkeyes, averaging 16.5 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. His ability to stretch the floor and knock down threes will be crucial against Ohio State’s defense.
X-Factor: Tony Perkins – The senior guard has provided leadership and defensive intensity all season. If he can facilitate the offense and limit turnovers, Iowa’s chances increase significantly.
Iowa comes into the tournament on a two-game winning streak, including a 90-81 win over Illinois in their regular-season finale. That momentum could give them an edge in this rematch against Ohio State.
Ohio State’s Outlook
The Ohio State Buckeyes (19-12, 9-11 Big Ten) are the No. 10 seed and have been playing inspired basketball since Jake Diebler took over as interim head coach. The Buckeyes have won four of their last five games, including a celebrated upset over Purdue that showcased their potential.
Key Player: Bruce Thornton – The sophomore guard has been the heart of Ohio State’s offense, averaging 15.8 points and 4.2 assists per game. His ability to attack the basket and control the tempo will be a key factor against Iowa’s fast-paced attack.
X-Factor: Roddy Gayle Jr. – The talented guard has shown flashes of brilliance, and if he can provide consistent scoring alongside Thornton, the Buckeyes could make a deep run in the tournament.
Ohio State’s defense has been solid down the stretch, holding opponents under 70 points per game in their last five outings. If they can slow down Iowa’s offense, they’ll have a strong chance of advancing.
Head-to-Head and Prediction
These teams met once in the regular season, with Iowa claiming a 79-77 win in Columbus. That game was a nail-biter, and this rematch is expected to be just as competitive.
Iowa’s high-powered offense against Ohio State’s improving defense makes this a fascinating matchup. However, the Buckeyes’ recent momentum and ability to grind out wins under Diebler make them a dangerous team.
Prediction: Ohio State 78, Iowa 74 – Expect a close battle, but Ohio State’s late-season surge could push them past the Hawkeyes in a must-win situation.
Whoever wins will face No. 2 seed Illinois in the next round, making this a crucial game for both teams’ NCAA Tournament hopes.
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